The great LSIF myth
Myths have a habit of surviving long past their due date. If not disproven, myths can often become accepted as fact.
Was there a shooter on the grassy knoll? Do pets explode in a microwave? There is no such thing as global warming (just look at the weather yesterday). Will your sports car disintegrate if you drive 300 km/h and hit a retaining wall? If you are 8 years old and fire a pellet gun, you’ll shoot your eye out. And so on….
As Darwinian forces have culled the Ontario Labour Sponsored Fund Industry over the past few years, there are but a few tall trees standing: GrowthWorks, ROI, VenGrowth and VentureLink are the four that come to mind that still have new material capital to deploy into new Ontario-based opportunities. Covington is also looking at new deals on the back of their great Platespin win.
There are a variety of reasons why these firms have survived the Ontario Government’s penny-wise-but-pound-foolish 2005 decision to kill the LSIF industry (see prior post “Ontario politicians asked to address deteriorating VC climate” October 1-07). “Poor returns” was certainly one of the key alleged reasons behind Premier McGuinty’s decision to kill the program, despite excellent results in B.C. and Quebec.
I love talking about returns, because so few people in positions of power can clearly articulate what a good return is.
Is investing $30 million of taxpayers money into an engine plant a good investment if it will only save 75 jobs? Is a flat return in an LSIF fund over the past twelve months a “poor return”? What about a 5% positive return over the past three years, Mr. Premier? Is that a “good return” or a “poor return” for retail investors?
Let’s have a look at some relevant returns, shall we?:
Sample LSIF returns:
GrowthWorks Canadian: 3 yrs: +2.85%, since inception: +0.01%
GrowthWorks Canadian Diversified I: +5.9%, since inception: +5.5%
ROI CDN Retirement Series A: 3yrs: +1.2%, since inception: +6.7%
ROI High Yield Series A: 3 yrs: +8.0%, since inception: +8.7%
VenGrowth III Diversified A: 3 yrs: -6.2%, since inception: -5.2%
VenGrowth Traditional Industries A: 3 yrs: -0.3%, since inception: +0.1
VentureLink Balanced: 1 yr: +13.4%, since inception: +7.4%
VentureLink Brighter Future I: 1 yr: + 34.6%, since inception: +15.3%
VentureLink Diversified Income I: 3 yrs: -0.3%, since inception: +1.0%
Sample Household Name Financial Institution Returns:
Blackstone Group (BX:NYSE): -49.9% since June 29, 2007 (1st day of trading post IPO)
BMO (BMO:TSX, NYSE): 1 yr: -37.9%, 3 yrs: -25.8%
CIBC (CM:TSX, NYSE): 1 yr: -41.6%, 3 yrs: -27.0%
CIT Group (CIT:NYSE): 1 yr: -83.9%, 3 yrs: -78.7%
Citigroup (C:NYSE): 1 yr: -66.6%, 3 yrs: -63.9%
Fortress Inv. Group (FIG:NYSE): -61.9% since Feb 16, 2007 (1st day trading post IPO)
Goldman Sachs (GS:NYSE): 1 yr: -19.1%, 3yrs: +69%
JP Morgan (JPM:NYSE): 1 yr: -29.8%, 3 yrs: -19%
Lehman Brothers (LEH:NYSE): 1 yr: -71.9%, 3 yrs: -57.3%
Wells Fargo (WFC:NYSE): 1 yr: -31.4%, 3 yrs: -20.6%
So, according to publicly available information, a wide variety of labour-sponsored funds have performed better than all but one of the 10 global financial institutions named above. And by “better”, I don’t mean that they’ve lost their investors less money. In fact, many LSIF investors are up over the one and three year investment horizons. QED.
Since the McGuinty Government pulled the plug three years ago, they can’t be blamed for not knowing that these investment teams would outperform the likes of BMO, CIBC, Citigroup, Lehman, Blackstone, et al. But, now that they have these facts, the rationale for killing the program just lost one of the alleged key drivers: poor investment returns.
And returns aren’t the only good news. LSIF funds are producing real companies: 5N Plus, Bridgewater, DataCom, Diamedica, DragonWave, Espial, IMRIS, RuggedCom, Sandvine and TeraGo all went public on the TSX between March and December 2007.
Moreover, Med-Eng Systems, Galleon Energy, Sandvine, Aspreva Pharmaceuticals and Lakeport Brewing have all been honoured by the Canadian Venture Capital and Private Equity Association over the past three years as either “Deal of the Year” or “Entrepreneur of the Year”. Each of these successful investments had LSIF backers.
Perhaps, with these new bits of pithy information, the Ontario Government will consider recrafting the LSIF program as the “Commercialization Fund Program” in their Fall economic statement. With so much money pouring into “R&D”, but with so little commercializable activity coming out the other end, now’s the time to focus the Queen’s Park minds.
Here are some ways to reform the LSIF program (change the name to “Commercialization Fund” to start):
– focus must be on commercializing companies in such sectors as information technology, biotech, cleantech, alternative energy;
– cap the investee company size at $20MM of trailing revenue at the time of investment;
– limit the public basket to 10%;
– grandfather the existing large funds (AUM of, say, $100MM and up) so as to preclude a bunch on new, and uneconomic, would-be managers;
– cap management and servicing fees at, say, 4%;
– encourage institutional sidecar funds;
– no pacing.
Firms such as ours might do even better if we had less competition, but that’s a small-minded approach. Ontario, and Canada, would be better off if the local venture capital community was given a chance to thrive. With five consecutive years of reduced VC investment, Ontario needs to take the plunge and keep the essence, if not the name, of the LSIF program. An incremental $15 million/year via the MRI Fund is but a drop in the bucket (see prior post “MRI Fund rumors come true” June 11-08).
MRM
(I own BMO, GS; VentureLink is a partner of our Funds II and III)
I don’t think it’s fair to compare returns for a private equity portfolio against that of diversified financial services companies. I think you would have to compare an 8-10 year ROR for an LSRF versus a regional-based or small-cap focuses private equity fund launched in the 1998-2000 time period.
I actually think that killing off the LSIF is the best thing for Vengrowth, Growthworks, and VentureLink. I have had the opportunity to work in both the retail-focused and institutional focused investment business (fund-of-hedge-funds). And let me tell you, it’s like night and day. In retail, operating costs are easily 2-3x higher than institutional. Considerable and ongoing time commitment by the top staff is require for non-investment activities (marketing, regulatory, etc) versus institutional commitments (quarterly letter, dealing with sophisticated LPs, etc).
I hope Vengrowth, Growthworks, and VentureLink all take the opportunity presented by the new Ontario Venture Capital Fund, by raising their first institutional-type fund, and transition their firms away from the retail business.
Mark, Another Great Post.
Alpha
I included LSIF returns since inception where available, but that isn’t really the point I was making. Retail investors can’t invest in regional small cap private equity funds, so the returns aren’t as relevant to me as what the true alternatives were. Given how fixated folks are with brand, won’t our Provincial Finance Minister be surprised to learn that investors would have been better off investing in an LSIF Fund 3 years ago rather than one of these global powerhouse financial institutions – and that’s without considering the tax rebate.
The Province benefits from the job creation that otherwise wouldn’t have happened. Joe/Jill Retail benefit from the gains in the value of their units.
Classic win-win.
MRM
excellent post Mark and great homework.
I had always thought that the cancellation of the LSIF did a huge disservice to tech in Ontario. The funds were cancelled based on poor performance and in fact performed better only makes a bad situation somehow worse.
both Quebec and BC which have programs similar to LSIF are experience more growth in their knowledge based economic sectors than Ontario. Perhaps the coming recession will give the powers that be cause to reflect on their dismal knowledge based economic policy.
Throwing millions of dollars at a muscle car plant when gas prices are sky rocketing isn’t a stellar example of sound economic policy.